Description

This analysis provides a forecast of RUNE prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-02-09 0.400481 5.439552e-01 0.710701 0.915452 1.156792 1.429095 1.756410
2025-02-16 0.158099 2.979735e-01 0.493898 0.771737 1.139746 1.595907 2.189375
2025-02-23 0.062501 1.803539e-01 0.385014 0.719277 1.209349 1.863910 2.766759
2025-03-02 0.019226 1.046874e-01 0.299026 0.667290 1.261214 2.107546 3.332109
2025-03-09 0.006627 7.543130e-02 0.276199 0.703404 1.440385 2.536649 4.171765
2025-03-16 0.000992 4.719053e-02 0.236021 0.694796 1.544112 2.862626 4.887548
2025-03-23 0.000106 3.710431e-02 0.233712 0.756120 1.766956 3.377006 5.892273
2025-03-30 NaN 2.721902e-02 0.223509 0.796882 1.956317 3.849393 6.855069
2025-04-06 NaN 1.813084e-02 0.205912 0.815046 2.104610 4.263432 7.746379
2025-04-13 NaN 9.465868e-03 0.174834 0.789995 2.167130 4.541285 8.442964
2025-04-20 NaN 5.466729e-03 0.159804 0.800618 2.296537 4.931022 9.317759
2025-04-27 NaN 2.773016e-03 0.144395 0.804461 2.410762 5.298484 10.167336
2025-05-04 NaN 6.903085e-04 0.117006 0.762866 2.430017 5.512957 10.799184
2025-05-11 NaN 6.042111e-05 0.094353 0.725164 2.451420 5.730891 11.443396
2025-05-18 NaN 2.525632e-07 0.083371 0.724584 2.553816 6.094180 12.327459
2025-05-25 NaN NaN 0.068406 0.699220 2.595401 6.349760 13.045525
2025-06-01 NaN NaN 0.070650 0.752067 2.826410 6.955720 14.342504
2025-06-08 NaN NaN 0.062513 0.751628 2.928256 7.328917 15.269414
2025-06-15 NaN NaN 0.067732 0.821253 3.207243 8.036178 16.754438
2025-06-22 NaN NaN 0.068402 0.867184 3.429817 8.644422 18.087190
2025-06-29 NaN NaN 0.064672 0.888000 3.590677 9.142165 19.247018
2025-07-06 NaN NaN 0.053896 0.862299 3.630500 9.413992 20.038995
2025-07-13 NaN NaN 0.049743 0.874041 3.767618 9.872571 21.147594